Event Driven Update

06/08/13: Cash rate cut by 25 basis points

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Interest rates fall...

Today Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to cut interest rates today, by 25 basis points or 0.25%. The cash rate is now at a historic low of 2.5%. This was widely expected as a raft of weak economic data, including yesterday's disappointing retail sales data, was enough pressure to force the RBA to act now. While our economy continues to grow it is grinding slower with some sectors, particularly outside of mining, still struggling, so the hope is that lower rates will give a lift to those sectors to create more 'uniformity'. As we're at the beginning of the Federal Election campaign, the timing of the cut will no doubt be controversial.

As at the time of writing many of the Australian banks have quickly responded, passing on the full rate to borrowers. From an investment perspective, this should take the vast majority of 6-12 month Term Deposit rates well below the 4% mark, forcing an increasing number of cautious investors back into higher yielding risk assets such as shares, bonds and property. Rick Maggi.

02/07/13: Interest rates on hold, for now

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RBA stays the course

As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep interest rates on hold today.

While the official rate remains unchanged, we're watching closely what the banks do with their rates as some of Australia's biggest lenders have recently made changes to their rates regardless of official interest rate moves by the RBA. If in doubt about your home or business loan arrangements, you should call us.

From an investment perspective, this leaves 6-12 month Term Deposit rates in the area of 4%, providing a low risk-free return (still high by global standards) alternative to other assets such as shares and property.

Going forward, the RBA really wants to see what the real impact of the tapering down of 'quantitative easing' in the US will translate into. If the RBA sees evidence of a slowing down of our economy, particularly in the retail sector, you should expect to see further easing. Our falling currency will also have an impact on the future direction of interest rates. We'll keep you posted. Rick Maggi.

02/07/13: Happy New Year!

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New Financial Year. Fresh Start.

Want to be kept informed in real-time? Tired of stale, irrelevant websites and blogs? Subscribe to our free updates here.  Happy New Year!  Rick Maggi & Staff.

27/06/12: Super Tip #8: Government co-contribution

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Get your cash reward...

As we're now approaching June 30th, its important to do some planning to maximise your strategy. This is a summary of the Government's 'co-contribution' scheme, which was spared in the recent May Federal Budget.  Rick Maggi  Read more here

24/06/13: The Fed, Interest Rates and Bonds

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Market Update...

Recent market falls and noise around the US Federal Reserve's potential moves going forward has been rattling investors. The following is a candid and easy to understand article on the subject from AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver. Rick Maggi.   Read more here

18/06/12: Greek election "a victory for all of Europe"

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Pro-austerity parties to rule...

Markets are breathing a sigh of relief after yesterday's elections in Greece, with the moderate centre-right party winning enough seats to govern in a coalition with another, established pro-austerity party. At the time of writing, share markets have rebounded strongly on the positive news. Watch video here. Rick Maggi

06/06/13: Recent market losses

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Sell in May and go away, or something more sinister?

Recent share market falls have taken some of the lustre from the stellar gains we've witnessed over the last year, although investment returns remain extraordinary to date. So is the perennial "sell in May and go away" behind the recent market correction or is there more to it than that? The following is an easy to understand three-minute video commentary (just released) from AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver that should help to calm the nerves... Rick Maggi.  Watch Video

15/05/13: Federal Budget Analysis (2013)

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No big surprises...

The 2013/14 Federal Budget will not be the most memorable. However, there are $43 billion worth of savings to, hopefully, drive the budget into a wafer-thin surplus by 2016/17. Thankfully, the superannuation tinkering did not extend any further in this Budget but re-enforced the announcements made on 5 April 2013. Again, it is important to note that, in this election year, most of the proposals announced are not yet law.

From a financial planning perspective, the Budget did deliver some amendments in the social security and family benefit payment space which may impact on some clients. The superannuation, pension and social security proposals further highlights the importance of getting good financial advice.

The following is a summary of the changes (Westmount), commentary/implications (AMP) and a video summary (MLC). Rick Maggi.

Federal Budget Analysis 2013                  Commentary/Implications                Video Summary

13/05/13: Smart EOFY 2013 Strategies

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12 End of Financial Year strategies to consider...

With the end of the financial year fast approaching, now is a great time to take advantage of various superannuation, insurance and tax strategies to reduce costs, save tax and streamline your finances.

Below is a useful guide to help you get there, but if you have any doubts or concerns, please contact us or discuss your personal circumstances with your financial adviser or tax specialist before taking action. Rick Maggi.  Read Smart EOFY Guide

07/05/13: Alert: Cash rate cut by 25 basis points

The comfort and safety of Term Deposits is a double-edged sword...

The Reserve Bank of Australia has just reduced the cash rate by 0.25% to 2.75% effective 8 May 2013. The RBA's Media Release is below. This action is in response to a slowing Australian economy (unemployment is rising, retail and government spending is falling, mining is sluggish, and taxes are set to rise).

Leading brokers are now predicting that our cash rate is headed to 2% and billionaire investor George Soros is betting that the Australian dollar will fall. Against this backdrop, interest rates are likely to continue their drift downwards, which is bad news for term deposit investors, and will probably encourage more Australians back into higher dividend yielding shares, much like the recent American experience (US markets are now trading about 4% above their all-time highs, primarily on the back of very low interest rates).

As the Australian market remains 23% below pre-GFC levels, it is quite conceivable that our markets will get a boost from falling interest rates, provided the global picture doesn't deteriorate. Rick Maggi.  RBA Statement

02/05/13: Japan's monetary easing and global markets

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What are the implications for Australia?

Following the recent changes to Japan's monetary policy, AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver discusses it's implications for global share markets. Rick Maggi. Watch Now

06/03/13: Dow smashes record as US stocks surge

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All-time high...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to an all-time record high on Tuesday, passing the five-year old mark to leave behind the deep losses of the economic crisis. The positive impact on Australian superannuation and pension funds has been huge. Read More Here. Rick Maggi.

27/02/13: Italian elections & European risk

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Where to from here?

With an inconclusive election result and a general unwillingness to reform their economy, Italy's future (and therefore Europe's), is back in the spotlight, impacting on share markets and overall confidence. This is a brief report on the topic. Rick Maggi  Italian Election/European Risk

25/01/13: Japanese reflation a good thing

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...and why it's great for Australia!

This article discusses the Bank of Japan's recent decision to raise its inflation target and introduce open ended 'quantitative easing'. It sounds complicated but it is a good read and simply explained. Enjoy. Rick Maggi Japanese Reflation

18/12/12: Outlook for 2013.

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Olivers Insights

An excellent overview of 2012 and a refreshingly bold attempt to map out the next twelve months, by AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver. Take a close look at the table of investment returns and forecasts. Enjoy! Rick Maggi

Read Oliver's Insights Here        Shares in 2013 (video)

05/12/12: RBA cuts cash rate to 3%

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But the song remains the same

While the RBA once again loosened monetary policy in December, the Bank continues to see a silver lining on every economic cloud and is yet to acknowledge that the Australian economy is entering a much more difficult environment now that mining investment has peaked. While many believe that the RBA will ultimately be forced to cut the cash rate to 2%, it seems pretty clear that the RBA still remains hopeful that the rate cuts it has already undertaken will be sufficient to revive growth. As such, it appears that until there is irrefutable proof that mining investment has peaked, or that unemployment is rising sharply, the RBA will remain a reluctant rate cutter, as indeed it has been over the past year. Rick Maggi  Update: Since the 25 basis point cut yesterday, most of the major banks have since cut their loan rates by about 20 basis points.

06/11/12: Rates on hold in November

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Interest rates left on hold for now

The Reserve Bank has elected to leave official interest rates on hold at 3.25 per cent, defying economists bets on a Cup Day cut. A survey of 27 economists by financial news service Bloomberg had 20 tipping a rate cut. However, the RBA has elected to break a six-year streak of moving interest rates on the first Tuesday in November.

The decision keeps the cash rate just above a low of 3 per cent that it dropped to in 2009 during the peak of the economic fallout from the Global Financial Crisis. The general view is that the RBA, always vigilant to fight off inflationary pressures, is taking a wait and see approach as the US economy slowly recovers and China's economy begins to stabilise.

Australia now has the highest interest rates of anywhere in the developed world. While lower interest rates would be a welcome development for borrowers, retirees will benefit from today's decision. But it's also important to note that very low rates is a sign that conditions have deteriorated - never a good thing So i think today, along with the Melbourne Cup, is a good day to celebrate.

16/10/12: Managing super in challenging times

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Your questions answered...

The last few years since the GFC have been difficult for investors - each time share markets take a step forward, changes in the global economy pull them back. Paul Clitheroe joins AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver to provide their views on where share markets are placed and how to navigate the period ahead. Also included is a link on the Eurozone (easy reading). Enjoy. Rick Maggi.

Watch video here          Read Eurozone update here

25/10/12: What does the US election mean for markets?

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Dr Shane Oliver discusses forthcoming US elections...

The US elections are only a few short weeks away and the polls have Mitt Romney and Barack Obama neck and neck. This video explores the potential consequences of either a Romney or an Obama win.  Watch video here