Oliver's Insights for January 2013
This note looks at the deal to avert the US fiscal cliff along with its debt ceiling and broader economic outlook. Generally pretty positive for 2013 (easy reading). Enjoy! Rick Maggi. Read here
19/08/13: The Broccoli & Pizza Portfolio
Insights from Dimensional's Jim Parker
It's often hard to give up on the idea that investment should be exciting - an interesting article from Dimensional VP, Jim Parker. Rick Maggi Read more here.
05/08/13: Consistency over the long term
Australian and international equities. Which sector performed the best?
Picking the market sector that will outperform and timing it to maximise returns is a difficult thing to do. Produced by Vanguard Australia, the following tables graphically illustrate the performance of different sectors (within the Australian share market) and the performance of different regions (international shares).
The take away is simple one. Building a portfolio within broadly diversified equity funds at the core can help lower risk and smooth out peaks and troughs in returns over time. Rick Maggi
08/08/13: The Federal Election
Implication for investors...
In this article AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver takes a look at potential implications for investors as move towards and beyond the Federal Election. Interesting reading. Rick Maggi. The Federal Election
26/07/13: The Vanguard Index Chart 2012-13 (Westmount Clients Only)
Some eye candy...
Every year Vanguard releases it's 'Vanguard Index Chart' and it's always worth a look. The chart illustrates what the value of $10,000 invested twenty years ago might be worth today had you invested in various sectors such as Australian shares, commercial property, cash etc. Along the twenty-year journey you see the impact of important events (both positive and negative) such as 9/11, US subprime and the Japanese Tsunami on markets and the value of the original investment. Vanguard also includes a second graph, called 'the power of diversification' which shows the performance of each sector in percentage terms, every year, for the last twenty years.
Seeing visual proof of market volatility (all of them), each having their day in the sun, followed by less than happy times, serves as a potent reminder of the importance of diversification and patience. We can all do with some gentle encouragement, especially during tougher, challenging times, so I like to keep this chart on my wall! Rick Maggi. View charts here
26/07/13: New normal, old story
'Outside the Flags' by Dimensional VP, Jim Parker
"Low returns are shaping as the new normal" That was the headline in The Australian Financial Review in early July 2012 in anticipation of another grim year on global equity markets for Australian investors. How did that forecast turn out? Rick Maggi Read more here
25/07/13: Investment outlook after a strong financial year
Dr Shane Oliver...
The last financial year saw returns of over 20% from Australian and global shares, so what's in store for 2013/14? Rick Maggi Read more here
12/07/13: Second guessing
A commentary from Dimensional's Jim Parker...
Markets have had a rocky time lately. Is this something to worry about? Rick Maggi Read here
02/07/13: Happy New Year!
New Financial Year. Fresh Start.
Want to be kept informed in real-time? Tired of stale, irrelevant websites and blogs? Subscribe to our free updates here. Happy New Year! Rick Maggi & Staff.
24/06/13: The Fed, Interest Rates and Bonds
Market Update...
Recent market falls and noise around the US Federal Reserve's potential moves going forward has been rattling investors. The following is a candid and easy to understand article on the subject from AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver. Rick Maggi. Read more here
13/06/13: Jumping off the Currency Cart
Why should it matter to you as an investor?
In this brief article, Dimensional's Jim Parker comments on currency speculators and just how spectacularly wrong most individual and professional investors get it. A good read. Rick Maggi. Jumping Off the Currency Cart
07/05/13: The Aussie dollar - is the best really behind it?
Where to from here?
Has the Australian dollar peaked? What can we expect going forward? What can you do to take advantage? Rick Maggi. Read more here
07/05/13: Alert: Cash rate cut by 25 basis points
The comfort and safety of Term Deposits is a double-edged sword...
The Reserve Bank of Australia has just reduced the cash rate by 0.25% to 2.75% effective 8 May 2013. The RBA's Media Release is below. This action is in response to a slowing Australian economy (unemployment is rising, retail and government spending is falling, mining is sluggish, and taxes are set to rise).
Leading brokers are now predicting that our cash rate is headed to 2% and billionaire investor George Soros is betting that the Australian dollar will fall. Against this backdrop, interest rates are likely to continue their drift downwards, which is bad news for term deposit investors, and will probably encourage more Australians back into higher dividend yielding shares, much like the recent American experience (US markets are now trading about 4% above their all-time highs, primarily on the back of very low interest rates).
As the Australian market remains 23% below pre-GFC levels, it is quite conceivable that our markets will get a boost from falling interest rates, provided the global picture doesn't deteriorate. Rick Maggi. RBA Statement
12/04/13: Are we in for another bout of weakness?
Olivers Insights
After a strong start to the year, share markets have had a few wobbles lately and bonds have rallied again. Sell in May and go away? Rick Maggi. Read more here
20/03/13: Running to Stand Still
'Outside The Flags' (Jim Parker, Dimensional)
Trying to correctly time your entry point to the market is never easy. Just ask the experts. This brief article written by Jim Parker, VP of Dimensional (DFA) Australia, is another reminder of the perils of market timing. Let me know if you'd like a copy of Jim Parker's book 'Outside the Flags' - an easy, enjoyable read. Rick Maggi. Read 'Running to Stand Still'
18/02/13: 2013 Rays of Hope
The start of the new year...
A refreshing take on the new year from Vanguard's Robin Bowerman… Read Here
16/03/13: Don't worry about a stock market drop...
Feeling a little Vertigo?
With US share markets at all time highs and Australian markets quickly gaining ground, it is only natural to feel a little nervous about what might be around the corner. British Journalist and Economist, Anatole Kaletsky, suggests that you might want to take a different view. Read more here. Enjoy! Rick Maggi.
06/03/13: Dow smashes record as US stocks surge
All-time high...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to an all-time record high on Tuesday, passing the five-year old mark to leave behind the deep losses of the economic crisis. The positive impact on Australian superannuation and pension funds has been huge. Read More Here. Rick Maggi.
01/03/13: A new long-term bull market edging closer...
...but may be somewhat constrained
This is a fascinating article from AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver, which suggests that the long-term 'secular bear market' which has plagued investors since the year 2000 is about to end, making way for a new longer running bull market, but with some limitations. Worth a read. Rick Maggi. Read here... Bull market getting closer
27/02/13: What is the prediction for Gold in 2013?
CommSec Gold Commentary...
The following is a 3 minute video commentary from CommSec about the prospects for gold during 2013 and 2014. Enjoy. Rick Maggi. Gold prediction video